Friday, October 5, 2018

Turnpike Sports® Week 5 NFL Picks


Miami Dolphins at the Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati playing at home is a 6.5 point favorite with an O/U of 49.5

The Bengals had an impressive win against the Atlanta Falcons last week with the Miami Dolphins playing just awful against the New England Patriots. In all three of their wins, Cincinnati has put up 34 points and it's probable that Joe Mixon will be back in the lineup for the Bengals. With the Dolphins leading the league with throwing nine interceptions I think the Bengals are in for a big Sunday.

I'm taking the Bengals and laying the points

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks

The Rams are 7 point favorite playing in Seattle with an O/U of 51.

The Rams are the best team in the league and they proved it last week against the Vikings. With Earl Thomas being out for the Seahawks and the Rams gaining at least 20 yards in 19% of their pass plays it will be a long day for the Seahawks defense. Usually I wouldn't pick a team that are 7 point favorites on the road, but I'm doing it this week.

I'm taking the Rams and laying the points

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills

The Titans are a 3.5 point favorite in Buffalo with an O/U of 39

Marcus Mariota is coming off a nice win against the defending Super Bowl Champions Philadelphia Eagles and showed he can play through his nagging hand injury. The Buffalo Bills are a team that is woefully short on talent (I'm still trying to figure out how they beat the Vikings a couple of weeks ago). I'm taking the Titans in this one, not to blow the Buffalo Bill's out, but certainly to win by at least a touchdown.

I'm taking the Titans and laying the points



Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Niners are a 4 point favorite with an O/U of 41

Without Garrapolo at quarterback, I really don’t see how the Niners are a 4 point favorite.  The Cardinals have lost their last two games by a combined 5 points and Rosen has looked good since taking over for Sam Bradford.  This is a matchup between two of the NFL’s worst teams and, honestly, flip a coin, but I’m thinking this may be the week the winless team scores their first win.

Pick is Cardinals

NY Giants @ Carolina Panthers

Panthers are a 7 point favorite with an O/U of 44.5

While the Giants have really been underwhelming on offense this season even with the addition of Saquon Barkley.  But they’ve been doing very well against the spread this season. The Giants have gone 7-2-1 against the spread over the last 10 games they’ve been underdogs by 7 or more points.  Add in the fact that the Giants have allowed the 10th fewest yards in the air and only 4 passing touchdowns all season, I don’t see an easy time being had by Carolina.

Picks is Giants

Denver Broncos @ NY Jets

Jets are a 1.5 point favorite with an O/U of 42.5

Denver is coming off an really tough loss and now have to travel to the Jets on a short week.  The Broncos are not as good as they have looked lately and the Jets, while playing poorly lately, are not as bad as they look.  Especially at home, where they still have a winning record against the spread. Jets QB Darnold has gotten progressively worse as the teams he’s faced have gotten better, but I would equate Denver’s defense somewhere between the Lions and the Dolphins defenses so we might finally see a good performance out of the rookie.  Something he really hasn’t had since Week 1.

Pick is Jets

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